Discover Value Betting
Monthly Tipster Rankings
How We Rate Tipsters
All of our recommended "best" tipsters are rated out of 100 using an impartial and entirely data-driven method which incorporates many factors including:
All of our recommended “best” tipsters are rated out of 100 using an entirely data-driven method which incorporates many factors including:
Our unique rating system can be used to compare tipsters - no matter what sport they specialise in, or what proofing site they belong to. So be sure to check back in to see how the ratings have changed!
Our system gives a universal rating that can be used to compare all tipsters featured on our site – no matter what sport they specialise in. So be sure to check back in to see how the ratings have changed!
Value Betting Services
You stand the best chance of finding a good tipster by using a reputable tipster proofing site.
The role of these sites is to connect bettors to an array of tipsters for almost any sport, while also auditing their betting records to "proof" their performance.
I’ve identified the tipster sites that'll give you the best chance of success. They're all featured in my round-up of the Best Betting Tipster Services.
Following tipsters you find on Twitter, Instagram and other social media platforms is unlikely to yield positive results.
Their performance is usually unmonitored, without any assurances of profitability. Records of historical bets are often non-existent, or inaccurately recorded.
Additionally, social media tipsters tend to be affiliated with bookmakers - meaning they're motivated to increase the volume of stakes placed through their tracking links rather than help their followers to earn money. This creates a conflict of interest.
Specialist third party sites such as Tipstrr and Smart Betting Club include tipsters that charge subscription fee on a weekly, monthly, or yearly basis. But they give a far greater chance of making a profit than following free tips found on social media platforms.
To learn more check out my article: The Truth About Social Media Tipsters
The majority of subscription-based “money making” schemes within the gambling sector - which includes tipster services - don’t deliver on their promises.
I highly recommend reading my article on tipster trustworthiness, which provides an overview on how the tipster industry works and explains why some bettors are satisfied with the intel they receive, while others feel cheated.
In order help increase your chances of finding profitable betting services I've created a checklist of 20 things to look out for in order to avoid betting scams.
Even if you're impressed by a tipster's advice, it's still important to verify their profitability before you’re overcome with excitement; it will save you a lot of disappointment — and money!
There are 5 key questions to ask about your tipster's results:
- Is the sample size large enough?
- How does the strategy perform on level stakes?
- Does the tipster's strategy have a 'method' behind it?
- is variance impacting the results?
- Do the result beat the SP (or closing line)?
To learn more on these five questions, check out my article: How To Tell If Your Betting Results Were Luck Or Skill.
A value bet is simply a bet where the chance of winning is higher than the odds imply.
For instance a Bookmaker might estimate their odds at 5.0 (which implies a 20% chance). But if the fair odds should be 4.0 (a 25% chance) then selecting the 5.0 odds would be a value bet.
Value betting puts the ‘expected value’ in the player’s favour, meaning that, mathematically, it's profitable long-term. Hence value bets are also known as 'Plus EV' bets.
Unlike Matched Betting and Arbitrage, Value Betting carries risk because there's no hedging process involved. Every value bet stands to win or lose.
However, over a large enough set of data, the mathematical edge of a value betting strategy will inevitably reveal itself in the results. But it's vitally important to maintain comfortable stake sizes in order to preserve the bankroll and ride out inevitable downward swings.
You can learn more about streaks/swings from my article on variance.
Without a doubt, the easiest way to find value bets is to follow the selections form a value bet finder. These specialist products enable bettors to identify sports bets with a player advantage - which means they're profitable in the long-run.
Check out my list of the Best Value Bet Finders.
The vast majority of sports bettors have no way of knowing whether the bets they placed were value bets or not. But with a simple comparison you can test the quality of your bets.
Quite simply: if your odds are better than the Closing Line (the final pre-event odds, or 'Start Price') then, on average, you have found value. This is known as Beating the Closing Line.
Bettors that find a way to consistently beat the Closing Line will earn profits over the long-haul. But in practice, that’s a lot more challenging than it seems.
I've proven that using the Closing Line is an excellent estimator for value. Check out my analyses in my article: The Importance of Beating The Closing Line.
Some Tipsters treat selections as predictions and somewhat neglect the importance of the odds on offer.
However, the top professional tipsters know too-well that long-term profits cannot be sustained without having a mathematical advantage. Therefore many utilise advanced selection methods to identify plus EV bets, which they recommend to subscribers.
It's important to understand the risks involved in following tipsters and how to go about finding a reputable service. I recommend reading the following articles for guidance: