What Is The ‘Starting Price’? Why Is The SP Significant?
SP is an abbreviation for ‘Starting Price’. SP betting is when you back a horse or dog and do not take the current price. Instead you leave your bet to …
The Paramount Importance Of Sample Size In Betting Analysis
Sample size, in a sports betting context, refers to the amount of bets you base your analyses around. Short-term betting results do not say with high ‘confidence’ how likely a …
Best Sites For Horse Racing Statistics | Form Databases
Horse racing bettors analyse data more than ever before in search of an edge in their bets. Horse racing pioneered the use of historical data analysis as a basis for …
Could 2021 be the Hornets Year? — NBA Championship
If you were to take a look at the DraftKings NBA betting you’d have to scroll some way down to find the Charlotte Hornets in the NBA Championship odds. Is …
2021 PGA Masters Tournament Tips — Who To Look Out For
The 2020 Masters getting postponed until November turned out to be a blessing in disguise for golf fans. Just a few months later, and the world is about to descend …
An Introduction To Sports & Casino Betting Strategies
There aren’t many approaches to gambling that’ll generate consistent profits over the long-term. In this beginner’s article I’ll run through some of the basic principles behind sports and casino strategies …
Cheltenham 2021: Can Willie Mullins Deliver Profit for Punters?
It’s just a matter of days until the 2021 Cheltenham Festival (16th-19th March) gets underway. And even though there won’t be any fans in attendance to deliver the famous “Cheltenham …
Predicting the Next MVP in the NFL, NBA, MLB & NHL
Sports predictions serve so many purposes. First and foremost, they are discussion points. Fans use them to spur debates. Analysts use them to drive up interest and monetize those debates. …
How Do I Know If My Betting Results Were Luck Or Skill?
I recently contributed an answer to the Trademate Sports ‘Industry Experts’ blog series for the question: how can I determine whether betting results were based on luck or skill? It’s …
10 Common Betting Strategy Mistakes (Biggest Flaws)
Trying to devise your own profitable betting strategy? It’s highly challenging, time consuming — and there’s a distinct lack of resources to guide you. So there’s many wrong turns you’re …
Who Are The Luckiest Football Teams?
Luck plays a huge part in sport. But there’s only so far good fortune will carry a football team over the long-run. In time, weak teams will be found out. …
How Expected Goals (xG) Will Change The Way We Bet On Football
Whilst all goals in football are worth an equal amount, the likelihood of a shot being scored varies. That’s where Expected Goals (xG) comes in. It’s a metric used in …
Analyse Your Betting Results The Easy Way With Bettingmetrics
I’ve written several posts that encourage readers to analyse past data in order to identify trends (see football prediction models). Data analysis is, of course, a fundamental skill if you’re looking …
My Premier League 2017/18 Top 4 Predictions
I’ve had plenty of time over the summer to reflect on last season and form my predictions for the new 2017/18 Premier League season. In this post I’ll firstly recap …
What Can We Learn About The 2016-17 Premier League Season?
It’s worth analysing the previous season as it gives an indication as to how the current one is likely to play out. Let’s focus on the top end of the …
Where Can I Find Free, Detailed Football Stats? (Football Analytics)
In previous posts I mentioned that you can download basic football stats from Football-Data.co.uk. However, this data doesn’t include much detail in terms of match analysis. In other words, it doesn’t …
My Favourite Sports Betting Blogs — 10 Of The Best
Want to learn more about professional sports betting? Looking for a source of inspiration? Well you could firstly read my posts from the Professional Betting section of this site… Alternatively, try …
Betting Strike Rate — Are Your Results Realistic?
In sports betting there’s a genuine buzz that comes from “getting it right” — especially when you correctly predict something against the odds. This often manifests itself in a winning …
Betting Variance — Am I Really Winning?
One of the biggest problems in gambling is that people convince themselves that their winning streaks were more than just pure chance. But it’s not about what you’ve made before, or …
Why Is Making Accurate Football Betting Predictions So Difficult?
Are you trying to accurately predict football matches? It’s pretty hard, right? In my post ‘The Basics Of Creating A Football Prediction Betting Model‘ I described various data-crunching methods I’d applied …
The Basics Of Creating A Football Prediction Betting Model
Many mathematical methods can be used to create football prediction models. I’ve no doubt that you could spend years perfecting a ‘betting system’. But take it from me: applying statistics to sports betting is not …
Calculate Expected Value (EV) — The ‘Edge’ Of Your Bets
Expected Value (EV) is a measure of how much a bettor should expect to win or lose per bet (or collection of bets) placed on the same odds time and …
How Race Winners Are Bred | Horse Pedigree & Bloodlines
Horse Racing bettors often take a huge interest in the pedigree of horses as this can provide an insight to likely race winners. The “thoroughbred” is a breed best known …