Accurately calculating your own football odds to identify profitable (value) bets is challenging. It requires skill, experience and a sound data collection technique. Not everyone will succeed at earning long-term …
There’s no flat-out answer to “how much can you earn from sports betting?”. It depends on 3 variables, which i’ll get onto. I’ve loosely touched on this subject before, but …
Sharp & Soft bookmakers — it’s pretty straightforward. Sharp bookmakers, such as Pinnacle, have the most accurate prices in the industry. Sharps influence the movement of odds. Soft bookmakers simply …
Whilst all goals in football are worth an equal amount, the likelihood of a shot being scored varies. That’s where Expected Goals (xG) comes in. It’s a metric used in …
I’ve had plenty of time over the summer to reflect on last season and form my predictions for the new 2017/18 Premier League season. In this post i’ll firstly recap …
Dutching or ‘Dutch Betting’ is when you’re able to back more than one outcome in the same event to win the same amount whichever of those selections wins. Dutching can …
Don’t fixate on staking plans. They won’t improve the profitability of your strategy/system unless it already has an advantage or positive ‘edge‘. Verify that your selection method is profitable on …
There’s a genuine buzz that comes from “getting it right” — especially when you correctly predict something against the odds. This often manifests itself in a winning gambler’s swagger. So …
One of the biggest problems in gambling is that people convince themselves that their winning streaks were more than just pure chance. But it’s not about what you’ve made before, or …
Want to find Value Bets? Truthfully I’ve struggled to find Value Betting Software that’s: Available to the public, and Offers genuine value. I’ve sieved though a lot of so-called Value Bet finders or …
Are you trying to accurately predict football matches? It’s pretty hard, right? I recently wrote the post ‘The Basics Of Creating A Football Prediction Betting Model‘ where I described various data-crunching methods i’d …
Hand-drawn by Aida Fatemi. See her Portfolio » Many mathematical methods can be used to create football prediction models. I’ve no doubt that you could spend years perfecting a ‘betting system’. But take it from …
Football betting is complex because there’s so many factors that have an impact on the betting markets. The rumours, touchline dramas, paper-talk, speculation, injuries, transfers, bust-ups, bans, sackings, and of course the fans, …
Calculating the Expected Value (EV) is an important, and relatively simple skill that enables you to ensure that your bets have a player advantage or ‘edge’. I’ll explain how it works. …
Ever heard the term ‘Value bet’, ‘Value betting’ or ‘Plus EV bet’ but not fully understood what it means? I’ll explain. Value, in betting terms, is presented when the odds suggest that the …
There are several reasons why Bookmakers restrict or close your betting accounts. Usually it’s because you’re betting smarter than they want you to be. If you’re a profitable bettor then closures …
Horse pedigree (“the thoroughbred”) is a breed best known known for agility, speed and spirit; all suitable characteristics for horse racing. Thoroughbreds are recognised as distance runners or sprinters, and their …
Professional Tipsters earn a living by recommending selections to their clients (gamblers). Some punters are satisfied with the intel they receive, whilst others feel cheated. Without analysing the results I can’t speak for each and …
