What’s Value Betting? What’s A Value Bet?
Ever heard the term ‘Value bet’, ‘Value betting’ or ‘Plus EV bet’ but not fully understood what it means? I’ll explain. Value, in betting terms, is presented when the odds suggest that the …
The Best Value Betting Software/Finder 2018
Want to find Value Bets? Truthfully I’ve struggled to find Value Betting Software that’s: Available to the public, and Offers genuine value. I’ve sieved though a lot of so-called Value Bet finders or …
Football Betting Course — Learn Profitable Strategies With Orio Sports
Accurately calculating your own football odds to identify profitable (value) bets is challenging. It requires skill, experience and a sound data collection technique. Not everyone will succeed at earning long-term …
How Much Can You Earn From Sports Betting?
There’s no flat-out answer to “how much can you earn from sports betting?”. It depends on 3 variables, which i’ll get onto. I’ve loosely touched on this subject before, but …
Sharp & Soft Bookmakers In Betting. What Does It Mean?
Sharp & Soft bookmakers — it’s pretty straightforward. Sharp bookmakers, such as Pinnacle, have the most accurate prices in the industry. Sharps influence the movement of odds. Soft bookmakers simply …
How Expected Goals (xG) Will Change The Way We Bet On Football
Whilst all goals in football are worth an equal amount, the likelihood of a shot being scored varies. That’s where Expected Goals (xG) comes in. It’s a metric used in …
My Premier League 2017/18 Top 4 Predictions
I’ve had plenty of time over the summer to reflect on last season and form my predictions for the new 2017/18 Premier League season. In this post i’ll firstly recap …
What Is Dutching? What Is Dutch Betting? (Arbitrage)
Dutching or ‘Dutch Betting’ is when you’re able to back more than one outcome in the same event to win the same amount whichever of those selections wins. Dutching can …
Staking Plans — What You Need To Know About Betting Bankroll Management
Don’t fixate on staking plans. They won’t improve the profitability of your strategy/system unless it already has an advantage or positive ‘edge‘. Verify that your selection method is profitable on …
Where Can I Find Free, Detailed Football Stats? (Football Analytics)
In previous posts I mentioned that you can download basic football stats from Football-Data.co.uk. However, this data doesn’t include much detail in terms of match analysis. In other words, it doesn’t …
Forget What You’ve Won Or Lost. Verify That Strike Rate.
There’s a genuine buzz that comes from “getting it right” — especially when you correctly predict something against the odds. This often manifests itself in a winning gambler’s swagger. So …
Am I Really Winning? — Betting Variance In Action
One of the biggest problems in gambling is that people convince themselves that their winning streaks were more than just pure chance. But it’s not about what you’ve made before, or …
Why Is Making Accurate Football Betting Predictions So Difficult?
Are you trying to accurately predict football matches? It’s pretty hard, right? I recently wrote the post ‘The Basics Of Creating A Football Prediction Betting Model‘ where I described various data-crunching methods i’d …
The Basics Of Creating a Football Prediction Betting Model
Many mathematical methods can be used to create football prediction models. I’ve no doubt that you could spend years perfecting a ‘betting system’. But take it from me: applying statistics to sports betting is not …
General Tips For Premier League Football Betting
Football betting is complex, and very difficult to predict. This is largely because there’s so many factors that have a significant impact on the game. It’s not a repetitive sport which …
Calculate Expected Value (EV) — The ‘Edge’ Of Your Bets
Calculating the Expected Value (EV) is an important, and relatively simple skill that enables you to ensure that your sports bets have a player advantage or ‘edge’. I’ll explain how it …
Prevent Your Bookmaker Betting Accounts From Being Restricted Or Closed
There are several reasons why Bookmakers restrict or close your betting accounts. Usually it’s because you’re betting smarter than they want you to be. If you’re a profitable bettor then closures …
Horse Pedigree — Breeding Winners Scientifically
Horse pedigree (“the thoroughbred”) is a breed best known known for agility, speed and spirit; all suitable characteristics for horse racing. Thoroughbreds are recognised as distance runners or sprinters, and their …
Do Betting Tipsters Offer Value? Can They Be Trusted?
Professional Tipsters earn a living by recommending selections to their clients (gamblers). Some punters are satisfied with the intel they receive, whilst others feel cheated. Without analysing the results I can’t speak for each and …