The ‘Fickle Football Fan Formula’ produces bet selections based on how fans feel. The model aims to determine whether public sentiment is biased towards recent results (hence ‘fickle’), and if that impacts the accuracy of the match odds markets. Learn more.

Current PnL

£10 Lay Bets on Fickle Fan Formula

Tips For Upcoming Games

FFFF detects when recent results could exaggerate the odds for upcoming fixtures, and recommends bets accordingly.

Manchester City

V

20th February 19:30



Brentford


RECENT RESULTS


67%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).34%
27%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.65%
14%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.28%
Satisfied, quietly positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Dissatisfied, slightly negative
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Liverpool

V

21st February 19:30



Luton


RECENT RESULTS


74%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).19%
35%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.68%
27%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.57%
Upbeat, positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Highly concerned, losing hope
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Crystal Palace

V

24th February 15:00



Burnley


RECENT RESULTS


40%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).21%
77%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.78%
30%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.18%
Slightly doubtfulSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Highly concerned, losing hope
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Aston Villa

V

24th February 15:00



Nottingham Forest


RECENT RESULTS


65%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).70%
33%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.45%
28%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.80%
Satisfied, quietly positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Gaining confidence
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Manchester United

V

24th February 15:00



Fulham


RECENT RESULTS


83%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).40%
22%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.45%
52%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.58%
Extremely optimistic, relaxedSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Slightly doubtful
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Brighton

V

24th February 15:00



Everton


RECENT RESULTS


65%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).46%
40%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.62%
37%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.34%
Satisfied, quietly positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Faint disappointment, mixed emotions
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Bournemouth

V

24th February 17:30



Manchester City


RECENT RESULTS


45%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).67%
62%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.27%
29%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.14%
Faint disappointment, mixed emotionsSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Satisfied, quietly positive
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Arsenal

V

24th February 20:00



Newcastle


RECENT RESULTS


88%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).61%
5%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.43%
37%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.19%
Extremely optimistic, jubilantSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Slightly hopeful
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Wolves

V

25th February 13:30



Sheffield United


RECENT RESULTS


67%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).34%
43%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.72%
57%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.18%
Satisfied, quietly positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Dissatisfied, slightly negative
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


West Ham

V

26th February 20:00



Brentford


RECENT RESULTS


9%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).34%
93%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.65%
60%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.28%
Hopeless, joylessSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Dissatisfied, slightly negative
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Fan Sentiment League Table

This following table shows how fans of each club are likely to be feeling at this moment in time.

RankClubSentiment
1Arsenal

Extremely optimistic, jubilant

2Manchester United

Extremely optimistic, relaxed

3LiverpoolUpbeat, positive
4Nottingham Forest

Gaining confidence

5Wolves

Satisfied, quietly positive

6Manchester City

Satisfied, quietly positive

7Aston Villa

Satisfied, quietly positive

8Brighton

Satisfied, quietly positive

9NewcastleSlightly hopeful
10ChelseaSlightly hopeful
11Everton

Faint disappointment, mixed emotions

12Bournemouth

Faint disappointment, mixed emotions

13Crystal PalaceSlightly doubtful
14FulhamSlightly doubtful
15Brentford

Dissatisfied, slightly negative

16Sheffield United

Dissatisfied, slightly negative

17Tottenham

Dissatisfied, slightly negative

18Burnley

Highly concerned, losing hope

19Luton

Highly concerned, losing hope

20West Ham

Hopeless, joyless

Premier League Table

# Team MP W D L F A G P
1 Liverpool 26 18 6 2 63 25 +38 60
2 Manchester City 25 17 5 3 58 26 +32 56
3 Arsenal 25 17 4 4 58 22 +36 55
4 Aston Villa 25 15 4 6 52 33 +19 49
5 Tottenham Hotspur 25 14 5 6 52 38 +14 47
6 Manchester United 25 14 2 9 35 34 +1 44
7 Brighton & Hov… 25 10 8 7 48 40 +8 38
8 Newcastle United 25 11 4 10 53 41 +12 37
9 West Ham United 25 10 6 9 36 44 -8 36
10 Chelsea 25 10 5 10 42 41 +1 35
11 Wolverhampton Wanderers 25 10 5 10 39 40 -1 35
12 Fulham 25 8 5 12 34 41 -7 29
13 AFC Bournemouth 24 7 7 10 33 46 -13 28
14 Brentford 25 7 4 14 35 44 -9 25
15 Crystal Palace 25 6 7 12 28 44 -16 25
16 Nottingham Forest 25 6 6 13 32 44 -12 24
17 Everton 25 8 6 11 27 33 -6 20
18 Luton Town 25 5 5 15 35 51 -16 20
19 Burnley 25 3 4 18 25 55 -30 13
20 Sheffield United 25 3 4 18 22 65 -43 13