The ‘Fickle Football Fan Formula’ produces bet selections based on how fans feel. The model aims to determine whether public sentiment is biased towards recent results (hence ‘fickle’), and if that impacts the accuracy of the match odds markets. Learn more.

Current PnL

£10 Lay Bets on Fickle Fan Formula

Tips For Upcoming Games

FFFF detects when recent results could exaggerate the odds for upcoming fixtures, and recommends bets accordingly.

Manchester City

V

1st April



Liverpool


RECENT RESULTS


82%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).43%
17%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.28%
33%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.67%
Highly optimistic, confidentSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Faint disappointment, mixed emotions
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Bournemouth

V

1st April



Fulham


RECENT RESULTS


33%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).19%
65%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.72%
30%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.52%
Dissatisfied, slightly negativeSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Highly concerned, losing hope
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Nottingham Forest

V

1st April



Wolves


RECENT RESULTS


23%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).25%
68%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.62%
42%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.38%
Downbeat, negativeSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Downbeat, negative
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Crystal Palace

V

1st April



Leicester


RECENT RESULTS


17%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).43%
78%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.68%
32%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.33%
Hopeless, stressedSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Faint disappointment, mixed emotions
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.Lay


Arsenal

V

1st April



Leeds


RECENT RESULTS


85%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).71%
13%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.45%
27%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.68%
Extremely optimistic, relaxedSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Gaining confidence
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Brighton

V

1st April



Brentford


RECENT RESULTS


73%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).58%
27%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.45%
33%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.13%
Upbeat, positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Slightly hopeful
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Chelsea

V

1st April



Aston Villa


RECENT RESULTS


66%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).77%
32%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.28%
18%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.43%
Satisfied, quietly positiveSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Upbeat, positive
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


West Ham

V

2nd April



Southampton


RECENT RESULTS


50%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).49%
50%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.62%
33%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.50%
Neither here nor thereSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Neither here nor there
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Newcastle

V

2nd April



Manchester United


RECENT RESULTS


71%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).46%
48%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.52%
40%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.14%
Gaining confidenceSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Faint disappointment, mixed emotions
LayTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Tottenham

V

3rd April



Everton


RECENT RESULTS


58%OPTIMISMHow optimistic fans feel in general, based on recent results and performances. This accounts for club expectations (which is regularly redefined).64%
45%CONCERNHow concerned fans feel about the convincingness of recent performances. Goal margins are a key contributor.43%
14%SHOCKHow surprised fans feel about recent results. Upsets lead to a higher score - but that can be positive or negative.37%
Slightly hopefulSENTIMENTA summary of how fans feel about their club at this moment. Look out for how sentiment changes over just a few games!Satisfied, quietly positive
NoneTIPFickle Football Fan Formula selects bets when there's a significant difference in the recent sentiment surrounding two clubs - which could have too much baring on current prices.None


Fan Sentiment League Table

This following table shows how fans of each club are likely to be feeling at this moment in time.

RankClubSentiment
1Arsenal

Extremely optimistic, relaxed

2Manchester City

Highly optimistic, confident

3Aston VillaUpbeat, positive
4BrightonUpbeat, positive
5Leeds

Gaining confidence

6Newcastle

Gaining confidence

7Chelsea

Satisfied, quietly positive

8Everton

Satisfied, quietly positive

9TottenhamSlightly hopeful
10BrentfordSlightly hopeful
11West Ham

Neither here nor there

12Southampton

Neither here nor there

13Manchester United

Faint disappointment, mixed emotions

14Liverpool

Faint disappointment, mixed emotions

15Leicester

Faint disappointment, mixed emotions

16Bournemouth

Dissatisfied, slightly negative

17Wolves

Downbeat, negative

18Nottingham Forest

Downbeat, negative

19Fulham

Highly concerned, losing hope

20Crystal Palace

Hopeless, stressed

FAQ

You stand the best chance of finding a good tipster by using a reputable tipster proofing site.

The role of these sites is to connect bettors to an array of tipsters for almost any sport, while also auditing their betting records to "proof" their performance. 

I’ve identified the tipster sites that'll give you the best chance of success. They're all featured in my round-up of the Best Betting Tipster Services

Following tipsters you find on Twitter, Instagram and other social media platforms is unlikely to yield positive results.

Their performance is usually unmonitored, without any assurances of profitability. Records of historical bets are often non-existent, or inaccurately recorded. 

Additionally, social media tipsters tend to be affiliated with bookmakers - meaning they're motivated to increase the volume of stakes placed through their tracking links rather than help their followers to earn money. This creates a conflict of interest.

Specialist third party sites such as Tipstrr and Smart Betting Club include tipsters that charge subscription fee on a weekly, monthly, or yearly basis. But they give a far greater chance of making a profit than following free tips found on social media platforms.

To learn more check out my article: The Truth About Social Media Tipsters

The majority of subscription-based “money making” schemes within the gambling sector - which includes tipster services - don’t deliver on their promises.

I highly recommend reading my article on tipster trustworthiness, which provides an overview on how the tipster industry works and explains why some bettors are satisfied with the intel they receive, while others feel cheated.

In order help increase your chances of finding profitable betting services I've created a checklist of 20 things to look out for in order to avoid betting scams.

Even if you're impressed by a tipster's advice, it's still important to verify their profitability before you’re overcome with excitement; it will save you a lot of disappointment — and money!

There are 5 key questions to ask about your tipster's results:

  1. Is the sample size large enough?
  2. How does the strategy perform on level stakes?
  3. Does the tipster's strategy have a 'method' behind it?
  4. is variance impacting the results?
  5. Do the result beat the SP (or closing line)?

To learn more on these five questions, check out my article: How To Tell If Your Betting Results Were Luck Or Skill.

The ‘Fickle Football Fan Formula’ produces bet selections based on how fans feel. The model aims to determine whether public sentiment is biased towards recent results (hence ‘fickle’), and if that impacts the accuracy of the match odds markets. Learn more.