Accurately calculating your own football odds to identify profitable (value) bets is challenging. It requires skill, experience and a sound data collection technique. Not everyone will succeed at earning long-term …
If you’re new to Matched Betting then I’m sure you have some questions. You might be confused, or sceptical. Read on to learn more. Matched Betting — All Your …
There’s no flat-out answer to “how much can you earn from sports betting?”. It depends on 3 variables, which I’ll get onto. I’ve loosely touched on this subject before, but …
Sharp & Soft bookmakers — it’s pretty straightforward. Sharp bookmakers, such as Pinnacle, have the most accurate prices in the industry. Sharps influence the movement of odds. Soft bookmakers simply …
Whilst all goals in football are worth an equal amount, the likelihood of a shot being scored varies. That’s where Expected Goals (xG) comes in. It’s a metric used in …
I’ve written several posts that encourage readers to analyse past data in order to identify trends (see football prediction models). Data analysis is, of course, a fundamental skill if you’re looking …
I’ve had plenty of time over the summer to reflect on last season and form my predictions for the new 2017/18 Premier League season. In this post I’ll firstly recap …
It’s worth analysing the previous season as it gives an indication as to how the current one is likely to play out. Let’s focus on the top end of the …
Dutching or ‘Dutch Betting’ is when you’re able to back more than one outcome in the same event to win the same amount whichever of those selections wins. Dutching can …
Thinking of becoming a Betfair trader? There’s a bunch of issues that you’ll inevitably experience. It’s best to know about them from the outset. Here’s my top 10 list of …
In sports betting, a Middle is an arb or ‘sure bet’ involving 2x Back bets on the same event. If the event ends with a specific result, you’ll profit by …
Don’t fixate on staking plans. They won’t improve the profitability of your strategy/system unless it already has an advantage or positive ‘edge‘. Verify that your selection method is profitable on …
In previous posts I mentioned that you can download basic football stats from Football-Data.co.uk. However, this data doesn’t include much detail in terms of match analysis. In other words, it doesn’t …
Scalping is a high-frequency process of placing bets on both sides of the market (Back and Lay) in order to profit from small price moments. Betfair scalping is considered a …
Swing trading involves looking for a large shift in the odds and capitalising on the change. It’s hard to predict drastic price moves — but Swing Traders that master this …
Sharbing is the short name for “Shop Arbing”. A shop Arber is someone that’s able to successfully place arbitrage bets at high street Bookmaker shops (e.g. Coral, Ladbrokes, Betfred), and …
Want to learn more about professional sports betting? Looking for a source of inspiration? Well you could firstly read my posts from the Professional Betting section of this site… Alternatively, try …
There’s a genuine buzz that comes from “getting it right” — especially when you correctly predict something against the odds. This often manifests itself in a winning gambler’s swagger. But …
Recently I was invited to talk on BBC Radio 4 to offer my knowledge on sports betting for a news report about a high profile betting investment fund named ‘The Winning …
One of the biggest problems in gambling is that people convince themselves that their winning streaks were more than just pure chance. But it’s not about what you’ve made before, or …
Are you trying to accurately predict football matches? It’s pretty hard, right? I recently wrote the post ‘The Basics Of Creating A Football Prediction Betting Model‘ where I described various data-crunching methods I’d …
Many mathematical methods can be used to create football prediction models. I’ve no doubt that you could spend years perfecting a ‘betting system’. But take it from me: applying statistics to sports betting is not …
Calculating the Expected Value (EV) is an important, and relatively simple skill that enables you to ensure that your sports bets have a player advantage or ‘edge’. I’ll explain how it …
I’ve noticed that many punters are accustomed to backing multiple selections in one sitting e.g. the night before a race. For practicality reasons it makes sense; not everyone is able to bet when they’re …
Exactly what money, free bets, software & tools and services are essential for Matched Betting? What’s a luxury? Strictly speaking you only require the essentials of: Money Free bets, and A Betfair account. …
