Swing Trading On The Betting Exchange (Basic Betfair Strategy)
Swing trading involves looking for a large shift in the odds and capitalising on the change. It’s hard to predict drastic price moves — but Swing Traders that master this …
What Is Sharbing? Does Sharbing Really Work? (Shop Arbing Explained)
Sharbing is the short name for “Shop Arbing”. A shop Arber is someone that’s able to successfully place arbitrage bets at high street Bookmaker shops (e.g. Coral, Ladbrokes, Betfred), and …
My Favourite Sports Betting Blogs (Trading, Analytics, Money Making)
Want to learn more about professional sports betting? Looking for a source of inspiration? Well you could firstly read my posts from the Professional Betting section of this site… Alternatively, try …
Forget What You’ve Won Or Lost… Verify That Strike Rate!
There’s a genuine buzz that comes from “getting it right” — especially when you correctly predict something against the odds. This often manifests itself in a winning gambler’s swagger. So …
Was The Winning Express A Scam? (BBC Radio 4 Interview)
Recently I was invited to talk on BBC Radio 4 to offer my knowledge on sports betting for a news report about a high profile betting investment fund named ‘The Winning …
Am I Really Winning? — Betting Variance In Action
One of the biggest problems in gambling is that people convince themselves that their winning streaks were more than just pure chance. But it’s not about what you’ve made before, or …
Why Is Making Accurate Football Betting Predictions So Difficult?
Are you trying to accurately predict football matches? It’s pretty hard, right? I recently wrote the post ‘The Basics Of Creating A Football Prediction Betting Model‘ where I described various data-crunching methods I’d …
The Basics Of Creating a Football Prediction Betting Model
Many mathematical methods can be used to create football prediction models. I’ve no doubt that you could spend years perfecting a ‘betting system’. But take it from me: applying statistics to sports betting is not …
Calculate Expected Value (EV) — The ‘Edge’ Of Your Bets
Calculating the Expected Value (EV) is an important, and relatively simple skill that enables you to ensure that your sports bets have a player advantage or ‘edge’. I’ll explain how it …
How To Make A Living From Sports Betting (2019 Edition)
Here’s a question that’s regularly asked: “can you make a living from sports betting?” The answer you’ll usually receive is a confident, flat-out “no”. Or a clique such as “it’s …
Be Careful When Placing ‘Early’ Bets With Low Market Liquidity
I’ve noticed that many punters are accustomed to backing multiple selections in one sitting e.g. the night before a race. For practicality reasons it makes sense; not everyone is able to bet when they’re …
Matched Betting Bare Necessities — Minimum Requirements
Exactly what money, free bets, software & tools and services are essential for Matched Betting? What’s a luxury? Strictly speaking you only require the essentials of: Money Free bets, and A Betfair account. …
How To Resolve Disputes With Casinos & Bookmakers
Despite the UK government’s efforts to standardise and regulate the gambling industry through the introduction of the Gambling Commission, player disputes are surprisingly frequent. Resolving a dispute with an online Bookmaker or Casino …
The Traits & Mindset Of A Professional Gambler
What makes a professional gambler successful at what he does? Well, the strategy and methods play a huge part. Intelligence and analytical skills also help. But mentality and character traits contribute, too. Here’s 10 tips for …
Best Horse Racing Form & Stats Websites (Databases)
Sports punters analyse niche data items more than ever before. Horse racing pioneered the use of historical data analysis as a basis for predictions — but there surprisingly aren’t many good sources of ‘form’ …
Improve Your Betting With These Recommended Books
Here’s my top 3 books for sports betting. Each one serves a different purpose, and elaborates on the concepts that I write about on this site. 1. Sports Trading on …
Best Betfair Trading Software 2019 (Betting Exchange Tools)
If you’ve ever looked into Betfair trading software then you would’ve came across the name ‘Bet Angel’. It’s a feature-rich, fast and reliable software application used by Betfair traders of all experience levels. Bet …
A Punter’s Guide To Beating The SP (Start Price)
I’ve written several posts alluding to the importance of the Start Price (SP) and how it can be used to ‘measure’ the value in your pre-race bets. By incorporating my research & findings from …
Prevent Bookmaker Accounts Being Restricted Or Closed
There are several reasons why Bookmakers restrict or close your betting accounts. Usually it’s because you’re betting smarter than they want you to be. If you’re a profitable bettor then closures …
The Different Types Of Free Bets & Promotions Explained
Free Bets offered by Bookmakers are a little bit confusing due to the tricky terms & conditions attached to them. Stringent rules are imposed because free bet promotions give away …
Horse Pedigree — Breeding Winners Scientifically
Horse pedigree (“the thoroughbred”) is a breed best known known for agility, speed and spirit; all suitable characteristics for horse racing. Thoroughbreds are recognised as distance runners or sprinters, and their …
Using The Weight Of Money For Betting Market Prediction (WoM)
The Weight of Money (WoM) is represented by a percentage value and shows when the market is “balanced” or “unbalanced”. It’s used by Betfair traders to predict whether odds are going to rise …
The Accuracy & Significance Of SP Odds
SP is an abbreviation for ‘Starting Price’ and until now has been widely associated with traditional bookmaking. You may want to bet at SP when there are no early fixed …
Drifters & Steamers — The Risers & Fallers Of Betting Markets
Risers and Fallers exist in both financial and betting markets. In finance the Risers & Fallers show us the “winners” and “losers” respectively, over a period of time (e.g. the trading …
What Causes Pre-Race Market Movements?
The public opinion, both professional and recreational, drives market movements. For every selection in a sporting event an opinion is made up of optimistic Backers and pessimistic Layers. As the market …